Another very interesting game in Europa League between Ajax and Copenhagen where I think that the home advantage will make difference. Copenhagen won first leg 2-1. They have played a very defensive minded match (only 36% ball possession) and they were lucky to not concede more than one goal. Tonight, I'm expecting another defensive minded game by them trying to not concede and to be dangerous on counter attacks.
I see Ajax clear favourite to take the win from this match. They were the better side in the first leg (considering that they were playing on the road) and they didn't deserved to lose that game. That was the first loss in 2017 for Ajax (12 games played). At home, they are a very strong team. They won 15 of the last 16 matches played drawing only against PSV but still dominating the game. Tonight, their fans will be on fire and that will be an huge boost for the team. Ajax will be fully motivated playing at home and they will be able to come back from the 1st leg result imo.
I don't expect a good result for Copenhagen tonight. After a poor moment of form, they are playing better now as they are coming to this game after 4 wins in a row but I'm not impressed. They won 0-3 on the road against B.93 (a 2nd division team), 5-0 against Horsens at home (they were clear favourite), 2-1 against Ajax and 3-0 against Esbjerg. They were favourite in every game. I have to say that Copenhagen won 9 of the last 10 games played on the road drawing once but still with weak opponents. Tonight, story will be different. I think that Ajax is better then them (as showed in the first leg) and with the home advantage for Ajax, I can't see Copenhagen taking a positive result from this clash.
Considering how Ajax play at home and how both teams have played the first leg, I see the home side clear favourite to win this game.
My pick is: 1.
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* - Odds correct at time of publication, and are subject to change.