Brazil Serie A tips here for me with this football game between Bahia (7th) vs Palmeiras (16th). Rankings means not much as it's still the start of the season but I'm going to back home team at 2.75 on bet365. Odds are way too high here in my mind, despite being the new team in Serie A, Bahia has an outstanding record at home : 3 wins in 3 games and 2 wins in 2 cup games at home, a perfect record yet to be broke.
Matter of fact, Bahia have won their last 9 home games last year in Serie B so they are on a run of 14 competitive matches at home won. Palmeiras, their opponent, are still without a point away from home as they lost their first 4 away games without even scoring a goal while Bahia have scored 10 and took only 2 goals in 3 games.
In Palmeiras amazing season last year, Moises in midfield was a big key to their success but he's been out injured since the last of the season and the team looks a bit lost without him. In my mind, he was their best player last year.
I have confidence in Bahia. They've looked really composed and playing great football at the moment so I believe the odds are really value here. 14 win in a row at home in a competitive game and playing against the champions is always a big motivation.
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* - Odds correct at time of publication, and are subject to change.