Let's try this bet in italian Lega A between Brescia and Cremona. This should be an high tempo match and points should come from both sides. Brescia is clear favourite to win this match but this will be not an easy match for them as Cremona usually plays very good offense on the road even if they have not positive results. Cremona will try to win this match and they will play free without nothing to lose.
At the moment, Brescia have a 10-2 record (they are the best team in Lega A) and they have a 5-1 record when playing at home. They have scored an average of 84 points in their 6 home matches conceding an average of 69 points. They have played good defense at home but they will suffer today against a very powerfull offense like Cremona's one.
On the other hand, Cremona have a 5-7 record but they are 1-5 when playing away from home. They have scored an average of 79,5 points in their 6 matches played away from home conceding an average of 86 points. I'm expecting them to score good amount of points especially in fast breaks.
Brescia will have very easy life to score big amount of points against a very poor Cremona's defense. On the other hand, Cremona should play high tempo as almost always on the road and they should be able to score good amount of points as well even if Brescia has good defense at home. Line is not that high. Over 159 is the best bet for this match imo. I think that line should be around 163 for this match.
Prediction: Brescia 86-75 Cremona
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* - Odds correct at time of publication, and are subject to change.