After a long break, I'm back here on Betguide and I am going to start late in October to post some tips. Celta Vigo will host Atletico Madrdi for a very important match and for the most interesting match of today. Simeone's team is not a team that collects a lot of corners when playing away from home. In their last matches on the road, they have collected 6 corners against Leganes, 0 corners againt Athletic Bilbao , 3 corners against Valencia and 2 corners against Las Palmas. They were able to collect good amount of corners only against Leganes but they have dominated the ball possession in that game and that was almost obvious. Atletico Madrid will not push hard in this match even if they will trail..Celta Vigo is a very dangerous team for everyone as they love to play with ball possession.
I'm expecting them to have at least 55% of ball possession today against a defensive minded Atletico Madrid. I have to say that they are not a team that collect a lot of corners too. At home, in their last matches, they have collected 5 corners against Girona, 3 corners against Getafe, 9 corners against Alaves and 5 corners against Real Sociedad. Today, I see them playing fully motivated. They will have more ball possession then Atletico Madrid and they will collect more corners imo. Odds are very good especially considering that Celta Vigo will play at home and this will be an huge advantage for them.
Considering how Atletico Madrid play against big teams as Valencia or Atletico Madrid away from home, I don't see Simeone's team winning a lot of corners today. Atletico will focus on defense letting the home side free to attack and to win corners. I see good value in this one.
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* - Odds correct at time of publication, and are subject to change.