After a lot of tips of tennis, I'm back on football and we have a very interesting match in Brazil between Corinthians and Atletico PR. I will bet on the home side to win here with asian handicap -1 as I think that odds are good and with value (not big value but still value).
Corinthians is clearly the best team in the league. They have 35 points after 13 matches played and they won 9 of the last 10 league matches. They are already +10 from the 2nd spot (Gremio) and today, with the home advantage, I think that they will win without big troubles. At home, they won 6 matches out of 7 played (the only team able to stop them and to win a point on the road was Chapecoense). They have scored 13 goals conceding only 3. Their defense is very strong and 4 of their last 6 home wins came with at least 2 goals of difference. I think that they will not have big problems to score against Atletico PR's defense today...their offense is very good especially when playing in front of their fans.
Atletico PR, on the other hand, are nothing special right now. They are only +3 from relegation zone as they were able to win only 15 points after 13 matches played. They are in a very poor moment of form as they are coming to this match after 4 losses and a draw in the last 5 games played. To be honest, they are a decent team on the road as 8 of their 15 points came away from home but I'm not afraid about that. Today, they will play against the best team in Brazil and I just can't see them taking a positive result from this clash. Atletico PR lost only 1 of the last 5 matches played on the road but there's big difference between these two sides atm. Corinthians is much more better side and they should win this one without big troubles.
All I see here is Corinthians winning this match with two or even more goals of difference. In case of a minimum win for the home side, this bet will be void. I see decent odds here.
* - Odds correct at time of publication, and are subject to change.
- Pick1 AH-1
- Odds-139 Bet365
- Match result2-2 (-8.00)