Another tip for today as Cilic (the big favourite in this part of the draw) will face Schwartzman. Odds for Cilic are not that high but I want to bet on games handicpa as I see value even in case of the argentinian winning a set. I really like this bet as I just can't see Schwartzman giving hard battle to Cilic. Even in case the argentinian will win a set, this bet can still be won as considering Cilic's serve and his opponents' one, there are chances for an huge difference of games in a set in favour of the croatian. Cilic lost a set against Sandgren in the first match but he needed time to adapt to the "new" surface. Things will change today.
Schwartzman is coming to this match after defeating Berlocq and Tipsarevic in 3 sets. Before US OPEN, he played good in Montreal so I'm not impressed that he won his first matches in straight sets (against not top opponents, without doubts). Despite winning easily, his serve was not good...In fact, after conceding 5 break points against Berlocq, he conceded even 11 break chances to Tipsarevic. This will be an huge problem against Cilic as losing a serve means very often to lose the set against him.
Marin Cilic came to US OPEN without playing Cincinnati and Montreal and he was nothing special especially in the first round against Sandgren as he won in 4 sets. Things changed a little bit in the second match against Mayer as he won very easily in 3 sets, 6-3/6-3/6-3. I think that Cilic will focus from the beginning in this match and will serve even better than his previous matches especially because Schwartzman will suffer a lot.
Marin Cilic is absolutely favourite to win this one...the serve will be an huge key and Schwartzman will have a very tough match today. These two players met on clay this season and Cilic won in straight sets, 6-1/7-6. I think that there is value for this handicap and I will go with flat stakes.
* - Odds correct at time of publication, and are subject to change.
- Prediction2 AH-5.5 games
- Odds-119 Unibet
- Match result3-1 (-8.00)
Last 10 D. Schwartzman
|01.11.18||A. Zverev - D. Schwartzman||2-0||Paris|
|31.10.18||F. Lopez - D. Schwartzman||1-2||Paris|
|24.10.18||K. Edmund - D. Schwartzman||2-0||Vienn|
|20.10.18||G. Monfils - D. Schwartzman||2-0||Antwe|
|19.10.18||G. Simon - D. Schwartzman||0-2||Antwe|
|18.10.18||C. Norrie - D. Schwartzman||1-2||Antwe|
|08.10.18||D. Schwartzman - S. Querrey||0-2||Shang|
|01.10.18||D. Schwartzman - D. Medvedev||0-2||Tokyo|
|22.09.18||D. Schwartzman - D. Goffin||1-2||Laver|
|16.09.18||D. Schwartzman - D. E. Galan Riveros||Davis|
Last 10 M. Cilic
|14.11.18||M. Cilic - J. Isner||2-1||Final|
|12.11.18||A. Zverev - M. Cilic||2-0||Final|
|02.11.18||M. Cilic - N. Djokovic||1-2||Paris|
|01.11.18||M. Cilic - G. Dimitrov||2-0||Paris|
|30.10.18||M. Cilic - P. Kohlschreiber||2-0||Paris|
|24.10.18||M. Copil - M. Cilic||2-0||Basel|
|22.10.18||D. Shapovalov - M. Cilic||0-2||Basel|
|09.10.18||M. Cilic - N. Jarry||1-2||Shang|
|02.10.18||M. Cilic - J-L. Struff||1-2||Tokyo|
|16.09.18||M. Cilic - S. Querrey||1-3||Davis|