We have the final in Stuttgat between Lopez and Pouille. I see Lopez winning here. There are chances for a very close game but the spanish should be clear favourite imo. He is a big expert on this surface and despite having a very tough draw, he was still able to reach the final: in fact, he won against Simon and Chardy in the first two rounds, then he won against Berdych in 3 (coming back after losing 1st set) and against Mischa Zverev (Mischa played an amazing tournament). His serve looks very solid...after losing his serve 3 times in the first two matches, he was perfect against Berdych and Mischa Zverev as he didn't lost his serve (despite losing in both matches a set). Today, his serve and his style of play will be an huge advantage on this surface. As I said before, he should be clear favourite especially considering how he played in the last two matches. After a very bad moment of form, Lopez is now playing his best level of tennis and I don't think that he will lose this big chance for him.
Pouille, on the other hand, played one match less. He won in 3 sets against Struff and Kohlschreiber and he had an easy match against Paire in two sets. He was broken 4 times in the tournament but he played one match less than Lopez. Bookmakers consider this match as almost a 50-50 but I think that Lopez has big chances to win this one. He is an expert of this surface and with his style will give big problems to Pouille. I think that odds should be much more lower so there is value here.
My pick is: Lopez to win.
* - Odds correct at time of publication, and are subject to change.
- Odds-118 Betfair
- Match result1-2 (-8.00)
Last 10 F. Lopez
|18.04.18||R. Bautista-Agut - F. Lopez||2-0||Monte|
|17.04.18||B. Paire - F. Lopez||1-2||Monte|
|23.03.18||J. Donaldson - F. Lopez||2-0||Miami|
|15.03.18||F. Lopez - S. Querrey||0-2||India|
|14.03.18||J. Sock - F. Lopez||1-2||India|
|11.03.18||E. Escobedo - F. Lopez||0-2||India|
|01.03.18||F. Lopez - J. Donaldson||0-2||Acapu|
|01.03.18||F. Lopez - T. Kokkinakis||2-0||Acapu|
|28.02.18||T. Daniel - F. Lopez||1-2||Acapu|
|28.02.18||R. Nadal - F. Lopez||Acapu|
Last 10 L. Pouille
|17.04.18||L. Pouille - M. Zverev||1-2||Monte|
|08.04.18||F. Fognini - L. Pouille||1-3||Davis|
|06.04.18||A. Seppi - L. Pouille||2-3||Davis|
|11.03.18||Y. Bhambri - L. Pouille||2-0||India|
|03.03.18||R. Bautista-Agut - L. Pouille||2-0||Dubai|
|02.03.18||F. Krajinovic - L. Pouille||1-2||Dubai|
|01.03.18||Y. Sugita - L. Pouille||1-2||Dubai|
|28.02.18||K. Khachanov - L. Pouille||1-2||Dubai|
|27.02.18||E. Gulbis - L. Pouille||0-2||Dubai|
|25.02.18||K. Khachanov - L. Pouille||2-1||Marse|