We have the final in Stuttgat between Lopez and Pouille. I see Lopez winning here. There are chances for a very close game but the spanish should be clear favourite imo. He is a big expert on this surface and despite having a very tough draw, he was still able to reach the final: in fact, he won against Simon and Chardy in the first two rounds, then he won against Berdych in 3 (coming back after losing 1st set) and against Mischa Zverev (Mischa played an amazing tournament). His serve looks very solid...after losing his serve 3 times in the first two matches, he was perfect against Berdych and Mischa Zverev as he didn't lost his serve (despite losing in both matches a set). Today, his serve and his style of play will be an huge advantage on this surface. As I said before, he should be clear favourite especially considering how he played in the last two matches. After a very bad moment of form, Lopez is now playing his best level of tennis and I don't think that he will lose this big chance for him.
Pouille, on the other hand, played one match less. He won in 3 sets against Struff and Kohlschreiber and he had an easy match against Paire in two sets. He was broken 4 times in the tournament but he played one match less than Lopez. Bookmakers consider this match as almost a 50-50 but I think that Lopez has big chances to win this one. He is an expert of this surface and with his style will give big problems to Pouille. I think that odds should be much more lower so there is value here.
My pick is: Lopez to win.
* - Odds correct at time of publication, and are subject to change.
- Odds-118 Betfair
- Match result1-2 (-8.00)