I don't know this player but he seems to be in the form of his life out there. Beating Stephane Robert in 1R of qualifs, the frenchman were playing some good stuffs the past few weeks. He did qualify, and beat Farrukh Dustov only losing 2 games. I know Dustov form this year on clay is really poor but he is a clay court specialist. He then beat young Italian Lorenzo Sonego losing 3 games again. The young Italian did well to reach the 2R beating easyly some quite good oponents without losing a set but the Spaniard looked too strong for him
I add a tip for Elias yesterday, the oponent of Kuznetsov. I looked the match and this wasn't a huge Kuznetsov out there, only easy on his 1st serve but really vulnerable on 2nd serve finishing the match with only 41% points won on it.
The Spaniard other way didn't had any break points to save in his yesterday's match winning it in 52 minutes. Sonego finished at 36% on 2nd serve. In the 1R round match, Dustov finished at 20% on 2nd serve and the Spaniard didn't get broke also but he had 6 bp to face.
In qualifs, Bruno Satanna finished with 30% on 2nd serv and Stephane Robert finished with 51% on 2nd serv.
Giving all these stats credit, I see some value at this over 18.5 games.
Happy New Year!
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- PickOver 18.5
- Odds-118 Betfair
- Match result6/7;2/6(21 (+8.50)