First tip of the day. Very interesting match in Europa League between Pavlodar and Dunav Ruse where I will bet on the away team to win, draw or lose with maximum one goal of difference.
Irtysh Pavlodar is nothing special...they are 4th in their league, -4 from Europa League zone. At home, they were able to win only 5 of the last 15 matches played and only 2 of these wins came with more than 1 goal of difference. They have conceded at least once in 8 of the last 10 matches played and I don't see them clear favourite to win this match. Maybe, they have the better players but Dunav Ruse will be able to play a good game and to score one or even more goals imo (1-0 will be perfect too). Pavlodar will have troubles today.
Dunav Ruse, on the other hand, finished 4th in their domestic league. Their last official match was played about one month ago but I don't care about this. Maybe, that is the only reason why odds for them to win or for double chance out are that high. They are a very organised team and they will be fully motivated for this big chance in Europa League.
Irtysh Pavlodar is from Kazakhstan while Dunav Ruse is from Bulgaria. I don't see Kazakhstan's football much more better than Bulgaria's one. Odds for the home side even dropped a little bit but I still think that the away team will be able to play a great game. I don't see big difference between these two sides and the home side should not be able to cover this handicap.
My pick is: 2 AH+1.5.
* - Odds correct at time of publication, and are subject to change.
- Prediction2 AH+1.5
- Odds-133 Bet365
- Match result1-0 (+6.75)
Last 5 home I. Pavlodar
|05.11.17||Irtysh Pavlodar - Shakhter Karagandy||1-0||Premi|
|21.10.17||Irtysh Pavlodar - Aktobe||1-1||Premi|
|30.09.17||Irtysh Pavlodar - Kairat||1-1||Premi|
|16.09.17||Irtysh Pavlodar - Akzhayik||0-1||Premi|
|10.09.17||Irtysh Pavlodar - Tobol||1-2||Premi|
Last 5 away Dunav Ruse
|04.11.17||Beroe - Dunav 2010||1-1||A PFG|
|14.10.17||Slavia Sofia - Dunav 2010||3-0||A PFG|
|22.09.17||CSKA Sofia - Dunav 2010||3-0||A PFG|
|16.09.17||Vereya - Dunav 2010||2-1||A PFG|
|25.08.17||Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Dunav 2010||2-1||A PFG|
Last 5 away I. Pavlodar
|28.10.17||Okzhetpes - Irtysh Pavlodar||1-2||Premi|
|15.10.17||- Irtysh Pavlodar||2-1||Premi|
|24.09.17||Ordabasy - Irtysh Pavlodar||1-2||Premi|
|26.08.17||Taraz - Irtysh Pavlodar||1-1||Premi|
|13.08.17||Atyrau - Irtysh Pavlodar||0-0||Premi|