I think Serbia will win this match and manage to cover -5.5 points.They are the better team here and also one of the favorites to win the EuroBasket.They lead the h2h record against Italy winning four of the last five matches between them.Serbia here comes after very nice wins against team like Hungary or Turkey.They won four of the last five matches and in all four they managed to cover this spread.Italy has done great to reach the quarters but i think it goes beyond them here because Belinelli alone cant do much against a way better Serbian team.
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* - Odds correct at time of publication, and are subject to change.