Let's continue analysing ATP Montreal as we have another big match between Jared Donaldson and Benoit Paire. I will bet on Jared Donaldson to win here as odds for his win should be around 1,55 in my opinion.
In fact, Jared Donaldson have already played 2 tournaments on hard courts after the grass season. He lost in the 2nd round in Atlanta against Escobedo and in the 3rd round against Sock (semifinalist). His first round match here in Montreal was absolutely incredible! In fact, he won in straight sets against Pouille (two tiebreaks) conceding only one break point in the whole match (but not saving it). He won 80% of points with his first serve and 63% with his second serve. Impressive! It's true that he has played about 2 hours yesterday but the same is for Benoit Paire. Jared will feel much more comfortable on the pitch as he has played more matches than Paire on this surface.
Benoit Paire, on the other hand, won in three sets against Donald Young in two hours and one minute of play. His serve was very bad especially with his second serve (only 42% of points won) while he won 71% of points with his first serve. He conceded 15 break points in the whole match and he was broken 6 times!! He can't afford to make such a bad performance on serve against Donaldson that is playing just amazing (even his returning game is fabolous). Also, Paire played three matches on clay (winning only one) after the grass season so this will be his only 2nd match on hard courts. Donaldson is a very dangerous player...Paire's season is not that good and I don't see him winning against the good american.
Donaldson is in amazing form. He is playing very well and he is serve was incredible in the first round. I think that he should be favourite to win this match against Paire that was nothing special in the first round and in the last matches played in general. As I said before, odds are too high so there is big value for Donaldson to win.
* - Odds correct at time of publication, and are subject to change.
- PredictionDonaldson to win
- Odds+100 Bet365
- Match result2-0 (+8.00)
Last 10 J. Donaldson
|27.08.18||M. Raonic - J. Donaldson||Us Op|
|06.08.18||J. Donaldson - B. Paire||0-2||Toron|
|01.08.18||S. Tsitsipas - J. Donaldson||2-1||Washi|
|31.07.18||J. Donaldson - J. Thompson||2-0||Washi|
|05.07.18||S. Tsitsipas - J. Donaldson||3-2||Wimbl|
|02.07.18||M. Jaziri - J. Donaldson||0-3||Wimbl|
|27.06.18||J. Donaldson - D. Shapovalov||1-2||Eastb|
|25.06.18||J. Donaldson - T. Fritz||2-1||Eastb|
|18.06.18||J. Donaldson - F. Tiafoe||0-2||Londo|
|30.05.18||J. Donaldson - G. Dimitrov||2-3||Frenc|
Last 10 B. Paire
|08.11.18||B. Paire - A. Vatutin||1-2||Mouil|
|07.11.18||B. Paire - K. De Schepper||2-0||Mouil|
|30.10.18||M. Fucsovics - B. Paire||2-0||Paris|
|28.10.18||V. Pospisil - B. Paire||Paris|
|27.10.18||T. Daniel - B. Paire||0-2||Paris|
|20.10.18||B. Paire - Al. Popyrin||0-2||Basel|
|17.10.18||B. Paire - E. Gerasimov||0-2||Mosco|
|16.10.18||B. Paire - M. Zverev||2-1||Mosco|
|10.10.18||B. Paire - A. De Minaur||0-2||Shang|
|09.10.18||P. Carreno-Busta - B. Paire||0-2||Shang|