Very interesting match in Europa League between Jagiellonia and Gabala. I think that the home advantage will help Jagiellonia to win. They were already the better side in the first leg and I'm expecting the same today. First leg in Azerbaijan finished 1-1. Gabala was very lucky to end that game with the draw as Jagiellonia was clearly the better side and they deserved to win that match. Jagiellonia played a very good game especially considering that they were on the road and that that trip was in Azerbaijan. Today, with the home advantage, I see the polish team clear favourite to win. Jagiellonia is clearly the better team and they have the better players.
Gabala need to win this match or to draw scoring more than 1 goal to qualify and I just don't see them getting the job done. Jagiellonia were 11-4-4 at home in the league last season and they will play for the win today. I'm expecting them to play another great game and they should win this one. Also, with Gabala playing in attack, they should have a lot of space on counterattacks and that can be the key of this game. Last year, in the domestic league, Gabala won only 3 games out of 14 played on the road. I see a very tough game for them today. As I said before, there's big difference between these two teams and I was expecting odds for the home side around 1,45 or something similiar. These odds are a gift imo.
Even in case of Gabala scoring a goal, I see the home side winning this one. I think that odds are decent and too high considering the difference showed in the first leg. I see good value for the home side to win.
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* - Odds correct at time of publication, and are subject to change.