Liaoning will host Guangzhou Evergrande for a very important game in the chinese Super League. Guangzhou need these 3 points to stay safe in the 1st spot of the league while Liaoning are ranked only +1 from Tianjin Teda and they need a positive result. I choosed to bet on goals here.
Liaoning are ranked 16th in the league as they have only 16 points after 20 matches played. They are only +1 from relegation zone and they are not in a good shape as they have lost 8 of the last 9 matches played but they are surely a funny team to watch especially when they play at home. In fact, they have scored 14 goals in 10 matches played in front of their fans conceding 19. They have failed to score only in two home matches. It's true that they are playing very bad but most of their problems are defensive problems. As I said before, they score a lot of goals when playing at home and I see them able to score against a defense that is conceding too much.
Guangzhou Evergrande, on the other hand, are +4 from the 2nd place (Shanghai SIPG) but they are not playing good as they won only 3 of the last 8 matches played in all competitions. Their main big problem is their defense as they have conceded 14 goals in the last 5 matches played (keeping only a clean sheet in the last match at home) and conceding at least two goals in the other matches. Also, we have to say that their offense is on fire as they have scored 16 goals in the last 5 matches played. I don't have a doubt that they will score but I don't have big doubts that they will concede too...their defense was absolutely ridicolous in the last matches and I don't see them keeping a clean sheet.
The home side has nothing to lose. They will play offensive minded (as they do in most of their matches) and they will have their chances to score against a very weak defense. At home, they know how to score against everyone. Also, I'm expecting two or more goals from Guangzhou Evergrande. This will be an open match with goals in my opinion. Guangzhou Evergrande won last two matches against Liaoning 2-1 and 6-2. I'm expecting another match full of goals. I will bet on BTTS and over 2,5 here.
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