Mayer vs Federer

Hey. This is a tip for Federer vs Mayer match. I find the cut of Mayer over 11 games very low and the odds very high so I'm going to explain why I do play this tip.
Both players met one time, and Federer won it 7-5 3-6 7-6 after saving 5 matchs points. He did manage to win the tournament after that, so credit to Mayer because nothing wrong with Federer.
Mayer is a really powerful player, good server, both 1st and 2nd serve are really good. He is powerful from back of courts, at the left or the right of the court, it don't matters he is really consistant.
The cut 11 games is really low out there and I think books both over rated Federer after Cinci, and under rated Mayer. He is excellent. Last year, Matosevic in 1st round did took 13 games and he is no where near Mayer level.
You can also find an interview of Federer saying that he is scared to play Mayer and who he did say that his victory against Mayer was his luckiest match of his career.
This is a good confidence bet for me! Good luck!