Another tennis tip for today as Nick Kyrgios will face Paolo Lorenzi. Kyrgios starts as clear favourite. I find very interesting odds for his win in straight sets but I prefere to bet on under 20,5 with big value. Paolo Lorenzi is a typical clay court player...he suffer a lot to play on fast surfaces and I was expecting him to lose yesterday already. I was so surprised that he was able to win in the 3rd against Tiafoe (especially after losing 6-0 the 2nd set) but Tiafoe just gifted to him most of the match. Paolo Lorenzi is a very weak player on hard courts and his serve is nothing special. Yesterday, against Tiafoe (nothing special) he was broken only 3 times but he has conceded a lot of break points to his opponent. Tiafoe was just too bad to not win that match. Lorenzi has 35 years old...during his carreer, he didn't had good results and his only wins came on clay. On hard courts, he never had positive results and today he will meet one of the best ATP Next Gen players (and one of the most dangerous, if not the most) on this surface.
Kyrgios, on the other hand, was coming to this tournament after 3 retirements in a row. He said that he was struggling to find motivation to play and that he had tough times for personal facts. In this tournament, things seems to have changed. In fact, he started very good against Troicki as he won in straight sets conceding only 3 games to his opponents. When Kyrgios is focused, very few players can stop him. Nick Kyrgios seems to be again confident of himself. Everyone was expecting Troicki to give big problems to him but he found good motivation and he destroyed his opponent. He will win easily again in my opinion.
Even a 70% Kyrgios is able to win against Lorenzi in straight sets on hard courts but considering how he played yesterday, Odds with this line are a gift.
* - Odds correct at time of publication, and are subject to change.
- PickUnder 20,5
- Odds+100 Bet365
- Match result2-6 3-6 (+10.00)
Last 10 P. Lorenzi
|17.07.18||P. Lorenzi - E. Donskoy||0-2||Umag|
|04.07.18||P. Lorenzi - G. Monfils||1-3||Wimbl|
|02.07.18||L. Djere - P. Lorenzi||1-3||Wimbl|
|26.06.18||P. Lorenzi - M. Basic||0-2||Antal|
|24.06.18||F. Bagnis - P. Lorenzi||2-1||L&Apo|
|23.06.18||T. Monteiro - P. Lorenzi||1-2||L&Apo|
|22.06.18||F. Baldi - P. Lorenzi||0-2||L&Apo|
|21.06.18||R. Balzerani - P. Lorenzi||0-2||L&Apo|
|20.06.18||C. Boluda-Purkiss - P. Lorenzi||1-2||L&Apo|
|12.06.18||P. Lorenzi - A. Davidovich Fokina||0-2||Calta|
Last 10 N. Kyrgios
|07.07.18||N. Kyrgios - K. Nishikori||0-3||Wimbl|
|05.07.18||N. Kyrgios - R. Haase||3-0||Wimbl|
|03.07.18||N. Kyrgios - D. Istomin||3-1||Wimbl|
|27.06.18||N. Kyrgios - S. Querrey||2-0||Boodl|
|23.06.18||M. Cilic - N. Kyrgios||2-0||Londo|
|22.06.18||F. Lopez - N. Kyrgios||0-2||Londo|
|21.06.18||N. Kyrgios - K. Edmund||2-1||Londo|
|19.06.18||N. Kyrgios - A. Murray||2-1||Londo|
|16.06.18||R. Federer - N. Kyrgios||2-1||Stutt|
|15.06.18||N. Kyrgios - F. Lopez||2-1||Stutt|