After another bad day yesterday, I will try to have some profit on tennis today and this seems to be a good chance. Roger Federer will face Polansky for his first hard court match after the grass season.
Roger Federer is playing one the best seasons of his carreer (maybe the best considering his age) as he is winning almost every single tournament that he plays. He is 31-2 this season and his only two losses came agains Haas and Donskoy (19-1) on hardcourts. In fact, on this surface, he has already won Australian Open, Miami and Indian Wells. Absolutely unreal! Maybe he will be not at his best but even a 70% Federer can win this one easily...there's too much difference between these two players.
Polansky, on the other hand, is a good player on this surface as he is played a lot of tournaments in the last month on hard courts but he plays mostly challengers and lower tournaments. It's clear that he can't give match to Roger Federer and he will lose this one in straight sets. Also, his serve is very poor and I don't see him holding the serve too many times...he should be broken AT LEAST once in both sets. (6-3/6-4 would be perfect). These two players met one time in Toronto and Roger Federer won 6-2/6-0. I think that we will see a similiar game to that one with Polansky winning maximum 6 or 7 games than in that match.
It's true that this will be the first match after Wimbledon for Roger Federer but I'm not afraid about this...it's crazy to think that Polansky will give problems to the swiss and I'm expecting not more than 19 games in this one. Line is maybe too high as the right line should be 18,5 with these odds so I see value in this case.
* - Odds correct at time of publication, and are subject to change.
- PredictionUnder 19,5 1
- Odds-137 Unibet
- Match result15 (+5.84)
Last 10 P. Polansky
|14.11.18||P. Polansky - B. Rola||0-2||Champ|
|12.11.18||P. Polansky - P. Kypson||2-0||Champ|
|08.11.18||P. Polansky - C. Eubanks||0-2||Knoxv|
|07.11.18||P. Polansky - C. Harrison||2-0||Knoxv|
|04.11.18||T. Paul - P. Polansky||2-0||Charl|
|03.11.18||P. Polansky - T. S. Kwiatkowski||2-0||Charl|
|02.11.18||P. Polansky - J. Sels||2-0||Charl|
|31.10.18||P. Polansky - T. Kamke||2-0||Charl|
|30.10.18||P. Polansky - T. Robredo||Charl|
|30.10.18||P. Polansky - J. Hiltzik||2-0||Charl|
Last 10 R. Federer
|17.11.18||R. Federer - A. Zverev||0-2||Final|
|15.11.18||R. Federer - K. Anderson||2-0||Final|
|13.11.18||R. Federer - D. Thiem||2-0||Final|
|11.11.18||R. Federer - K. Nishikori||0-2||Final|
|03.11.18||R. Federer - N. Djokovic||1-2||Paris|
|02.11.18||K. Nishikori - R. Federer||0-2||Paris|
|01.11.18||F. Fognini - R. Federer||0-2||Paris|
|31.10.18||M. Raonic - R. Federer||Paris|
|28.10.18||R. Federer - M. Copil||2-0||Basel|
|27.10.18||R. Federer - D. Medvedev||2-0||Basel|