I think that these odds are too high and there is big value. It's true that Rafa is much more better player but he was not that perfect yesterday and he could have some problems today if he is not at his best.
Kei is playing very good this week (even if I didn't trusted him before), playing good defense and flying in the court. He is full of confidence after defeating a clay court specialist yesterday (Zverev) and he will play a good match tonight.
Considering h2h, Nishikori should be able to play a good match today. Nadal is playing very good but Nishikori is finally in a good form as well. This bet will be fine even in case of Nadal winning in two tight sets and something like 6-3/6-3 is perfect. Nishikori doesn't deserve to be treated as a poor player with these odds.
* - Odds correct at time of publication, and are subject to change.
- PredictionNishikori AH+6.5 games
- Odds-105 Pinnacle
- Match result6-3 6-2 (-10.00)
Last 10 R. Nadal
|31.10.18||R. Nadal - F. Verdasco||Paris|
|07.09.18||R. Nadal - J. Del Potro||Us Op|
|05.09.18||R. Nadal - D. Thiem||3-2||Us Op|
|02.09.18||R. Nadal - N. Basilashvili||3-1||Us Op|
|31.08.18||R. Nadal - K. Khachanov||3-1||Us Op|
|30.08.18||R. Nadal - V. Pospisil||3-0||Us Op|
|28.08.18||R. Nadal - D. Ferrer||Us Op|
|12.08.18||R. Nadal - S. Tsitsipas||2-0||Toron|
|12.08.18||R. Nadal - K. Khachanov||2-0||Toron|
|11.08.18||R. Nadal - M. Cilic||2-1||Toron|
Last 10 K. Nishikori
|15.11.18||D. Thiem - K. Nishikori||2-0||Final|
|13.11.18||K. Anderson - K. Nishikori||2-0||Final|
|11.11.18||R. Federer - K. Nishikori||0-2||Final|
|02.11.18||K. Nishikori - R. Federer||0-2||Paris|
|01.11.18||K. Anderson - K. Nishikori||0-2||Paris|
|31.10.18||A. Mannarino - K. Nishikori||0-2||Paris|
|28.10.18||K. Nishikori - K. Anderson||0-2||Vienn|
|27.10.18||K. Nishikori - M. Kukushkin||2-0||Vienn|
|26.10.18||D. Thiem - K. Nishikori||0-2||Vienn|
|25.10.18||K. Khachanov - K. Nishikori||0-2||Vienn|