Spain will host Italy for a very clutch game that will decide who will go to the next WC without playoffs. Spain is the favourite to win this match but I don't think that this will be an easy one for them as Italy is always a dangerous team to play against.
Italy is famous for their defensive minded attidude and they will play mostly on defense in this match. They will play trying to score on counterattacks and fast breaks but their main goal will be to defend and maybe trying to keep a clean sheet. They will play with strong defense and midfield trying to play very low tempo (just how Atletico Madrid do with big teams, to let you understand).
Spain, on the other hand, will have, just like always, more ball possession and more chances than Italy. Also, obviously, there will be a lot of shots on target and big chances for corners.
They are a team that usually collect a lot of corners especially when playing at home. They have played 3 home matches in the group and they have collected 6,11 and 8 corners. Today, it should be not an expection. The home side will attack from the beginning collectin a lot of corners.
It's clear that they will play for the win today. A draw is not a negative result for them but it's not in their mentality.
Spain will collect even more corners especially if they will concede and they will need to push hard. I will bet on Spain to win at least 4 corners more than Italy.
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* - Odds correct at time of publication, and are subject to change.