Another US OPEN tip as Fabbiano will face Paolo Lorenzi for a big italian derby. Paolo is the favourite to win this match but I don't think that this will be an easy one for him and I will bet on over 37,5 with good value.
Thomas Fabbiano is coming to this match after defeating Smith in 4 sets and Jordan Thompson in 5 sets. In both of these matches, his serve was in a big trouble a lot of times as he conceded 17 break points against Thompson and 14 break points against Smith. It's clear that Fabbiano is not serving that good but today he will face not a big server and he should play in Lorenzi's serving turns as well.
Paolo Lorenzi, on the other hand, was able to win against Sousa and Muller in 4 sets. His last win was absolutely amazing against Muller and nobody was expecting that. Lorenzi served good in both matches as he conceded only 6 break points in both matches. Paolo is a very "old" player and after two tough battles, I don't expecting him to keep his level very high during the whole match.
It's clear that this is a big chance for both. Lorenzi is the favourite to win this match but I'm not expecting him to keep his serve good as in the previous matches especially against Fabbiano that is very confident. This will be a tough fight as this chance will not come again for both players. I don't see one of these two players winning in straight sets in this one and this line of over 37,5 games should be passed easily. I think that this will be a 4 or 5 sets match with a lot of games played.
* - Odds correct at time of publication, and are subject to change.
- PickOver 37.5
- Odds-110 Unibet
- Match result28 (-8.00)
Last 10 T. Fabbiano
|06.07.18||S. Tsitsipas - T. Fabbiano||3-0||Wimbl|
|05.07.18||T. Fabbiano - S. Wawrinka||3-0||Wimbl|
|02.07.18||Y. Bhambri - T. Fabbiano||1-3||Wimbl|
|28.06.18||T. Fabbiano - J. Jung||3-1||Wimbl|
|26.06.18||T. Fabbiano - T. Kamke||2-0||Wimbl|
|25.06.18||T. Fabbiano - G. Clezar||2-0||Wimbl|
|22.06.18||T. Fabbiano - M. Mmoh||0-2||Ilkle|
|21.06.18||T. Fabbiano - A. Bublik||2-1||Ilkle|
|19.06.18||T. Fabbiano - A. Ward||2-0||Ilkle|
|11.06.18||T. Fabbiano - M. Granollers-Pujol||0-2||Notti|
Last 10 P. Lorenzi
|04.07.18||P. Lorenzi - G. Monfils||1-3||Wimbl|
|02.07.18||L. Djere - P. Lorenzi||1-3||Wimbl|
|26.06.18||P. Lorenzi - M. Basic||0-2||Antal|
|24.06.18||F. Bagnis - P. Lorenzi||2-1||L&Apo|
|23.06.18||T. Monteiro - P. Lorenzi||1-2||L&Apo|
|22.06.18||F. Baldi - P. Lorenzi||0-2||L&Apo|
|21.06.18||R. Balzerani - P. Lorenzi||0-2||L&Apo|
|20.06.18||C. Boluda-Purkiss - P. Lorenzi||1-2||L&Apo|
|12.06.18||P. Lorenzi - A. Davidovich Fokina||0-2||Calta|
|29.05.18||P. Lorenzi - K. Anderson||0-3||Frenc|