Cincinnati is in good form right now, having beat up teams like Tusla, Memphis and Houston. That said their record is quite inflated by having meet the bad teams.
UCLA is another level of strenght. Their offense is simply the best in the country and Cincinnati have never had to face a team that strong and full of talent. For example, they have great outside shooting with Alford and they play good, team basketball. Ball is incredibly strong as a pass first point guard.
Cincinnati does not have enough firepower to stop UCLA from winning the game and covering the spread tonight.
A few statistics to support my pick:
Bearcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
The Bruins are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 neutral site games as a favorite.
- Pick1 (-3.5) AH
- Odds-104 Unibet
- Match result79-67 (+9.60)