Usul vs Van Der Linder

This is a tip for Vadym Ursu #956 to beat Lennert Van Der Linden #823
This is the last step for players to qualify for the challenger. This is a clay court match aswell.
I think the book are wrong, once again for these qualifs, and I explain myself why. First, I was really close to put a tip on the young Ukrainian player to beat Philipp Davydenko a top 500 player, but I did change my mind. Wrong choice, as he won the match in 3sets, while the Netherland player beat a 1168# player.
First huge difference : Ursu is a ukrainian player of only 18 years old and already hitting #956 ranking, while Van Der Linden is a Netherland player of 26 years old.
The only factor that can make me feel Ursu will lose is that Van Der Linden hitting his best season on tour with a ratio of 25/9 on clay courts and did won a ITF tournament.
What make me think that the young Ukrainian player will win is that he looks solid and with some potential. He is 11/10 on clay hitting some poor performances on ITF I have to say, but motivation is not the same and you can see that with him beating Philipp Davydenko a player who did take a set to Andres Haider Maurer, Damir Dzuhmur and Basilashvili recently on clay courts.
What make me think that the young Ukrainian player will win is that this is his second appereance in Challenger this year. But having a look at his 1st one, results just saying : He beat the #943 ranked player in 1st round 6/0 6/1 before failing in the next round against a much more better player, Rodriguez Pace #350 player. But that was still a hard match, losing in 3 sets.
Despite Van Der Linden being in good form, I think there is much more potential in this young Ursu. And the prices are huge once again as he have a dream opportunity to enter in his first challenger tour match, bet365 offers 4.33.

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