Boa seems to be much more competitive than Vitoria de Conquista, playing in Brazilian Serie B, while the home team is only involved in the Campeonato Baiano. Vitoria comes from 2 losses in a row in this competition, with a sum of 3 goals conceded, while Boa has been a bit more consistent than them in Campeonato Mineiro, never conceding more than a goal despite winning only once. Boa can win according to me.
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* - Odds correct at time of publication, and are subject to change.